Shaun Kenney | Politics and Religion in Virginia's Public Square


Friday, November 04, 2005 Jay was right, but not for long! Current aggregate polls are showing Kaine up by four. And even though the Roanoake poll is skewing the average, all of the polls are showing Kaine up by fractions within the margin or error. So kudos to Jay for accurately predicting the numbers thus far. Interesting thought: what if Potts dropped out and endorsed Kilgore at the 11th hour? The only reason I mention this isn't because I think Kilgore is seeking this option, but I'm hearing more and more from Potts about being a Republican, working with Republicans in the Senate, getting things done, etc. If Kilgore becomes governor, how effective can Potts be? Perhaps he's getting ready to bow out respectfully rather than suffer what will have to be a terribly humiliating showing at the polls on Tuesday. Probably won't happen, and we probably don't need it. My prediction going into the weekend? KILGORE BY 3. Our GOTV is better prepared, better run, and has been advertised as the game-winning field goal we need. Simply put, Republicans in the end will vote, while on the other side of the fence, I'm honestly beginning to question whether or not the Kainiacs really have that fire in the belly that turns people out rather than turns away mainstream voters. I just don't see or feel the Kaine momentum folks, but I'm feeling a bit of a swing in the Kilgore camp. If you're a consevative who's still thinking twice, now is the time to jump on the bandwagon! posted by Shaun Kenney \| 11/04/2005 12:44:00 PM \| 2 comments 2 Comments: At 3:48 PM, D.J. McGuire said... The Roanoke College Poll had just over 400 likely voters taken over a week. It had Kilgore trailing in the Shenandoah Valley; it's a bad poll. I just checked Rasmussen's record from 2004. In the state polls he consistently undershot Bush's numbers. In Virginia, he was of by 4 point (Ras: 50-45, actual: 54-45). I respect Mason-Dixon more than any other pollster. If they say this race is tight, I believe it. Meanwhile, everybody's complaining about Kilgore's ads. You don't complain about the other guy's ads unless their working. My gut tells me Kilgore will pull this out, and I'm staying with that. At 3:54 PM, Jason Kenney said... Nevermind the Kilgore numbers from back in June giving him +10. That's not a skew at all. :) Like I've said before, though, polls are meaningless. Let's see how things turn out come Tuesday. Post a Comment Home
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